Sunday, May 31, 2009

Cabinet Reshuffles after Euro-elections

With a major reshuffle promised for after the Euro elections (seems a little odd to do as one newspaper suggested that the reshuffle take place before the Euro's are counted, with the new Cabinet immediately tarnished with defending the results), I thought it would be interesting to see the scale of reshuffles after the previous Euro elections.










20041999199419891984
Seats lost6 33131315
Vote Share23282835 38
Seats 19291832 45
Vote Position 22 22 1
Cabinet Members sacked 1 3 4 4 1
Reshuffled 0 26 10 1


This table shows the outcome for the governing party of the time of all but the first Euro-elections and the subsequent reshuffle.

It appears that 4 is the maximum casualty rate from a Euro election reshuffle, with Thatchers fall in sight in 89, and Major's panic-strewn (but post leadership election) reshuffle in 94 as hardly enviable comparators for Brown.

NB. Figures in the table won't always add up - as the UK allocation of Euro seats has changed over time, the figures used are like-for-like comparators.

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